Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.001364 0.001527 0.001691 0.001866 0.002049 0.002233 0.002432
2025-09-07 0.001166 0.001406 0.001654 0.001926 0.002215 0.002511 0.002837
2025-09-14 0.000955 0.001248 0.001560 0.001910 0.002289 0.002684 0.003124
2025-09-21 0.000822 0.001162 0.001532 0.001956 0.002422 0.002913 0.003465
2025-09-28 0.000735 0.001116 0.001541 0.002037 0.002588 0.003174 0.003838
2025-10-05 0.000617 0.001024 0.001490 0.002044 0.002668 0.003338 0.004102
2025-10-12 0.000530 0.000959 0.001465 0.002075 0.002771 0.003523 0.004387
2025-10-19 0.000428 0.000867 0.001401 0.002056 0.002812 0.003638 0.004591
2025-10-26 0.000349 0.000796 0.001356 0.002056 0.002871 0.003768 0.004810
2025-11-02 0.000271 0.000715 0.001294 0.002031 0.002900 0.003863 0.004986
2025-11-09 0.000218 0.000664 0.001265 0.002043 0.002968 0.003998 0.005205
2025-11-16 0.000167 0.000608 0.001226 0.002039 0.003015 0.004108 0.005394
2025-11-23 0.000106 0.000536 0.001179 0.002044 0.003097 0.004286 0.005692
2025-11-30 0.000064 0.000484 0.001155 0.002079 0.003215 0.004508 0.006044
2025-12-07 0.000021 0.000400 0.001080 0.002046 0.003252 0.004636 0.006290
2025-12-14 0.000004 0.000358 0.001060 0.002081 0.003371 0.004858 0.006642
2025-12-21 NaN 0.000338 0.001072 0.002158 0.003538 0.005136 0.007058
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000287 0.001031 0.002160 0.003613 0.005306 0.007349
2026-01-04 NaN 0.000253 0.001011 0.002190 0.003719 0.005510 0.007680
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000202 0.000956 0.002168 0.003761 0.005637 0.007919
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000164 0.000918 0.002166 0.003824 0.005789 0.008185
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000123 0.000865 0.002141 0.003856 0.005901 0.008405
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000098 0.000839 0.002152 0.003933 0.006066 0.008683